Hot or iced, with whipped topping or not — Seattle’s Best Coffee fans can soon have it their way.
Burger King (BKC) will start serving up the Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500)-owned brand at 7,250 of its restaurants across the United States by September, for $1 to $2.79 a cup, the company announced today.
"The addition of Seattle’s Best Coffee expands on our ‘Have it Your Way’ brand promise by offering our guests even more beverage options and strengthens our ability to remain competitive in a continuously changing industry," the restaurant chain’s senior marketing VP, John Schaufelberger, said in a statement.
The news comes amid a weak economy in which consumers seem to be pinching pennies and avoiding burgers, soda and beer.
Last week McDonald’s posted same-store sales were down 0.7% in January in its U.S. restaurants. Burger King competes with McDonalds’ McCafe to attract morning customers. Burger King doesn’t post monthly figures, but showed same-store sales in the U.S. and Canada were down 3.3% in the second quarter of 2010.
Seattle’s Best Coffee will replace Burger King’s BK Joe coffee menu, launched in 2005.
The sandwich chain Subway also signed a deal with Seattle’s Best back in November and now sells its coffee in 8,500 stores.
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European finance chiefs sought to bolster international confidence in Greece’s ability to cut its budget deficit by endorsing the country’s austerity plan and promising to ensure the government delivers on it.
“The European members of the G-7 will make sure it is managed,” French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde told reporters on Feb. 6 after meeting counterparts and central bankers from the Group of Seven in Iqaluit, Canada. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the ECB is “confident” Greece will cut its deficit below the limit of 3 percent of gross domestic product in 2012 from 12.7 percent.
The struggles of the Greek government to convince investors it can reduce the largest budget gap in the European Union without outside assistance forced their way on to the agenda of the G-7 talks after the MSCI World Index of stocks fell to its lowest in four months on concern of a default.
“I just want to underscore they made it clear to us, they the European authorities, that they will manage this with great care,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in Iqaluit. “The European authorities gave us a very comprehensive review of the program now in place to address the challenges faced by the Greek economy.”
Greek bonds have tumbled in the past two months, pushing the yield on the country’s 10-year debt above 7 percent, the highest since 1999, the year the euro began trading. The premium investors charge to hold Greek 10-year bonds over the benchmark German bund has widened to 356 basis points, about 10 times what it was two years ago, and credit-default swaps on Greek debt rose to a record on Feb. 5.
Foreign-Exchange Markets
“No measure of official reassurance would be enough unless the nations in question retain credibility in financial markets, which remains to be seen,” Geoffrey Yu, a currency strategist at UBS AG in London, said in a note to clients. “We expect foreign-exchange markets to continue trading on a risk-averse tone.”
Borrowing costs have also jumped for Portugal and Spain, raising concern among policy makers that Greece’s woes will be shared elsewhere in Europe and overseas as governments try to rein in the record budget deficits they ran up fighting the worst global recession since World War II.
“This is a crisis that has been on the horizon for quite a while,” Harvard University Professor Niall Ferguson told Bloomberg Television, adding that Belgium and Italy are also at risk. “The contagion is going to spread.”
‘Intense Concern’
German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said in Iqaluit that policy makers outside Europe “have the impression that Europeans will solve this problem and that they’re aware of the problem.” Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said the size of Greece’s economy means “in global terms it’s not of intense concern.”
Schaeuble said Greece still has to “pay a price” for running up the deficit and said the euro remains “stable.”
“Euro-area members of the G-7 gave an update on the efforts and commitments by the Greece government to ensure fiscal sustainability and economic reform,” Trichet said. “We said that the euro area would continue to monitor closely the implementation of this stability program.”
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has already pledged to step up budget cuts if needed and EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia, who also attended the G-7 meeting, said last month that leaders have no “plan B” to help Greece.
Painful Measures
Most Greeks object to increases in the retirement age and fuel taxes even as a majority say painful measures are needed to reduce the budget gap, according to a Kappa Research poll for To Vima newspaper, published yesterday.
Harvard’s Ferguson said Greece’s economy will suffer as it tries to restore fiscal order with the resulting increase in unemployment triggering public strikes. Teachers, hospital workers and tax collectors already have called a 24-hour strike for Feb. 10 and private-sector workers will follow two weeks later.
“It’s going to be messy,” said Ferguson, who predicted Germany and France will provide financial aid if needed. “Suddenly the markets woke up and realized these weren’t credible fiscal policies.”
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The U.S. economy grew at the fastest pace in more than six years during the fourth quarter of 2009, according to a government report Friday.
The nation’s gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, rose at a 5.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter. That was much stronger than expected and provides another sign that a recovery in the economy is taking hold.
Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast growth of 4.7%.
Good end to a terrible year. The growth in the fourth quarter was the highest since the third quarter of 2003. The economy rose at a 2.2% annual pace in the third quarter of last year.
But even with the strong growth in the second half of 2009, the economy shrunk by 2.4% last year. That was the biggest drop in 63 years and first annual decline for the economy since 1991.
The GDP report does not mark an official end of the recession. That determination will be made by the National Bureau of Economic Research, and that group typically waits months — if not more than a year — to declare when recessions ended and began.
But two straight quarters of economic growth is typically a sign of a recovery, and most economists agree that the recession ended at some point in the middle of 2009. The Federal Reserve even used the word "recovery" in the statement following its latest meeting earlier this week.
Inventories lead the way. Much of the improvement was driven by a turnaround in inventories, the supply of goods that businesses produce in anticipation of sales. Businesses slashed inventories in late 2008 and early 2009 due to concerns about worsening economic conditions.
According to Friday’s report, 3.4 percentage points of growth in the fourth quarter came from the change in inventories. A pickup in auto production was a significant part of the inventory turnaround, even though auto sales themselves only rose modestly.
But the U.S. consumer was somewhat of a bystander in the fourth quarter, as personal consumption grew at only a 2% annual rate in the period. Spending by consumers accounts for more than two-thirds of economic activity.
Lakshman Achuthan, managing director of Economic Cycle Research Institute, said that growth from inventories shouldn’t be dismissed since they are typically a driving force of strong recoveries.
"In late 2008 into 2009 everyone freaked out to prepare for Armageddon," he said. "They fired everybody and stopped buying inventories. That overreaction is what’s being undone. Yes, you have to have jobs growth, but we’ll get that next, probably in January or February."
Other economists say the turnaround in inventories isn’t enough to lead to strong growth over a sustainable period. A better labor market that would give consumers the confidence and money they need to spend is also necessary.
"I’m not dismissing the inventory gain, but now that inventories are getting more into line with final sales, then the thrust of economic growth depends on final demand picking up," said John Silvia, chief economist with Wells Fargo Securities.
Stimulus, exports, also feed growth. Economic growth in the third quarter was greatly attributed to the federal stimulus bill passed at the beginning of 2009. But stimulus doesn’t appear to have had as big of an impact in the fourth quarter.
Federal spending on stimulus does not show up on any one line of the GDP report. In fact, government spending contributed little to growth by itself, even as non-defense spending by the federal government rose at an annual 8% rate in the quarter.
But money pumped into the economy by tax cuts, such as the first-time home buyer tax credit, coupled with spending by businesses that received stimulus dollars, did have an impact in the quarter, even if it was harder to quantify.
An 18% jump in the value of exports also played a major role in the economy’s rebound, contributing nearly 2 percentage points of growth. Silvia said exports have a chance to be a significant source of growth in the coming year, helped by the weaker dollar and stronger growth in developing economies, particularly in Asia.
Investment in business equipment and software jumped at a 13% annual rate, the biggest increase in nearly four years. That spending added almost a full point to GDP, and is often a precursor to employers starting to hire once again.
Slower growth ahead? Sung Won Sohn, economics professor at Cal State University Channel Islands, said there was good news in the report, but cautioned that the economy is unlikely to keep growing at such a strong pace.
"The not-so-good news is that most of the growth came from temporary factors such as inventories and government stimulus which can’t be sustained," he said.
Sohn’s forecast is for GDP growth of 2.6% in the first quarter, and only a bit higher than that for the full year. Silvia expects GDP growth of 2.3% in the first quarter of 2010, and 2.7% for the full year.
But Achuthan said growth doesn’t have to stay above 4% or 5% for the economy to start making significant gains.
"It is normal to have a burst of acceleration coming out of a recession, particularly a sharp recession, and then have growth ease back," he said.
OTTAWA–Prime Minister Stephen Harper will test drive his priorities for the G8 and G20 summits this week at an elite conference in Davos, Switzerland, and he’s expected to highlight the environment, development and global economic growth.
While Canada’s official agenda for the end-of-June summits is not yet finalized, climate change will figure prominently at both meetings, a senior government official said.
Economic recovery, banking regulations, aid for mothers and children in poor countries and global security are also top of mind for the prime minister as he leaves Tuesday night for a quick three-day trip.
His speech on Thursday will be the first public unveiling of how Harper sees the two summits unfolding – starting with the Group of Eight industrialized countries meeting in Huntsville, Ont., at the end of June, and followed immediately by the larger Group of 20 summit in Toronto.
While Canada has been widely pilloried for its lack of plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, Ottawa wants the two summits to push the world closer to a binding international treaty on emissions reduction, based on the agreement-in-principle reached in Copenhagen last month.
"We want to see a long-term agreement on climate change," said the Canadian official, speaking on background. He stressed that final decisions will need to be made through the United Nations.
The summits, he said, "can play a supportive role online payday loans."
For the G8 summit, Harper plans to make child and maternal health a central theme, several sources said, although it was unclear whether Harper was ready to focus on that topic in his Davos speech.
Ottawa wants to foster collaboration among the richest countries to improve hospitals and health care for mothers and newborns in poor countries.
The federal government also wants to set an example by increasing its own spending on maternal and child health in developing countries – although money has not yet been allocated for this effort.
Stopping the spread of nuclear weapons and other security concerns will also be on the G8 discussion list.
For the G20, Harper will use his Davos speech to signal that the Toronto summit in June will focus on entrenching the global economic recovery.
Specifically, Harper is expected to stress that the rebound is fragile, and that the world won’t really feel like recovery has taken hold until employment rises.
He is expected to signal that he wants all G20 countries to demonstrate that they are living up to their unprecedented commitments to stimulate their economies.
French business confidence rose more than economists forecast in January on signs that the recovery is gaining pace after the worst recession in six decades.
The index of sentiment among factory executives jumped to 92 from a revised 88 in December, Paris-based statistics office Insee said today. Economists expected a reading of 90, according to the median of 18 forecasts gathered by Bloomberg News.
France’s economy emerged from the slump last year, growing 0.3 percent in the second and third quarters. The Finance Ministry said this week that growth accelerated in the three months through December and raised its 2010 forecast, predicting that Europe’s second-largest economy will expand 1.4 percent.
“French industry is benefiting from the pickup in world trade,” said Joost Beaumont, an economist at Fortis Bank Nederland in Amsterdam. “Growth should mainly come from foreign demand.”
French bonds gained after the report, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond due in 2019 down 2 basis points to 3.43 percent. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.
French 10-year debt yielded an average 37 fast cash online.18 basis points more than 10-year German securities in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The spread today was 23.5 basis points.
“Manufacturers see business significantly improving,” Insee said. “Inventories of finished products are judged to be small and order books, overall and from abroad, are filling up, even if they are still considered much less than full.”
The level of orders from foreign clients now shows a reading of minus 48, up from minus 58 in December, Insee said.
Domestic demand may be restrained by rising unemployment. The Finance Ministry expects France to lose 71,000 jobs this year, mostly in the first half, after shedding 373,000 in 2009.
“We have a recovery and the only question is how strong it will be,” said Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas in Paris. “In the U.S. inventories are being re- built and in Europe we are positive on the prospects for France and Germany.”
Production in the U.S. rose for a sixth consecutive month, consumers gained confidence and price increases slowed, indicating the economic recovery is being sustained into 2010 without generating inflation.
Output climbed 0.6 percent in December for a second month, according to figures from the Federal Reserve issued today in Washington. The cost of living increased 0.1 percent last month, less than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, and sentiment reached a four-month high in January, other reports showed.
Manufacturers may ramp up assembly lines in coming months to replenish stockpiles and meet rising global demand that’s lifting profits at companies including Intel Corp. The rebound so far has soaked up a quarter of the excess capacity created by the worst recession since the 1930s, giving the Fed scope to keep interest rates close to zero through the first half of the year.
“The economy is on a pretty good track on the recovery side and inflation is not a problem,” said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts, who correctly forecast the increase in consumer prices. “The Fed can be pretty relaxed, at least for the moment, and focus on making sure this recovery is sustainable.”
Stocks Drop
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index dropped from a 15-month high after JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported a loss in its retail banking division and a stronger dollar pulled down commodity prices. The S&P 500 was down 1.2 percent to 1,134.75 at 12 p.m. in New York.
The increase in production matched the median forecast of 76 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Estimates ranged from no change to a gain of 1.1 percent. The stretch of increases at the end of 2009 was the longest in a decade.
Production was propelled by a jump in utility use as temperatures turned colder. Utility demand climbed 5.9 percent, the biggest jump in two decades. December was colder than average, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, prompting Americans to turn up the heat.
Manufacturing dropped 0.1 percent as losses in auto and mineral production offset a 0.9 percent gain in business equipment. Demand for computers, communications gear and semiconductors improved, signaling investment may be picking up.
Another report today showed manufacturing accelerated in the New York Fed region this month. The Fed Bank of New York’s general economic index rose to 15.9 from 4.5 in December. Readings above zero in the so-called Empire State Index signal manufacturing expansion in the state and parts of New Jersey and Connecticut.
‘Solid’ Quarter
“We’re turning up,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief U small personal loans.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York. “Inventories are the spark of the recovery,” he said, and growth “looks pretty solid for the fourth quarter.”
Intel, the world’s largest chipmaker, yesterday projected bigger first-quarter sales than analysts had estimated, a sign the computer industry has shaken off the effects of the recession. The Santa Clara, California-based company, which supplies chips to more than 80 percent of the world’s computers, expects its profit margin to hit a 10-year high this year as consumers snap up laptops and businesses loosen the purse strings on technology budgets.
“My expectation for 2010 is that we’re going to see robust unit growth,” Chief Financial Officer Stacy Smith said in an interview. “The consumer segments of the market will stay pretty strong, and I do believe we are going to see a resurgence in PC client sales.”
Spare Capacity
Capacity utilization, which measures the proportion of plants in use, increased to 72 percent in December, the highest level in a year, from 71.5 the prior month, the Fed’s production report also showed. It was forecast to rise to 71.8 percent, according to the survey median.
The plant-use rate averaged 80 percent over the past two decades and reached a record low 68.3 percent in June. Excess capacity is one reason economists project inflation will remain low.
The increase in the consumer-price index last month followed a 0.4 percent gain in November, the Labor Department reported. The median forecast of economists surveyed projected a 0.2 percent advance.
Excluding food and energy costs, the so-called core index also increased 0.1 percent. Companies may have little success raising prices with unemployment projected to average 10 percent this year, the highest annual rate in seven decades.
“Consumer pricing pressures remain very subdued,” said Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Inc. in Detroit, who accurately forecast the rise in the core rate. “It gives the Fed further leeway to continue keeping rates where they are well through 2010.”
The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment for January increased to 72.8, less than anticipated, from 72.5 in December. The gauge averaged 66.3 last year after reaching a record 28-year low of 55.3 in November 2008.
Boeing Co. said commercial orders will pick up by 2012, after dropping to the lowest level since 1994 last year, as an economic recovery boosts air-travel demand and airlines return to profit.
"We’re starting to see the economy turn around after a really difficult year last year in terms of traffic," Randy Tinseth, Boeing’s marketing chief, said. Growth in travel and cargo shipments this year will translate into airline profits and "then we can start to see an increase in demand for new airplanes in 2012," he said.
Boeing had 142 net orders last year after 121 cancellations, the Chicago-based company said in a statement Thursday. That’s the fewest since 125 orders in 1994, according to spokesman Jim Proulx. The total also trails the 194 that rival Airbus SAS reported as of Nov. 30.
Boeing’s orders fell from 662 in 2008, when Airbus had 777, and from a record high of 1,413 in 2007.
"On a gross-order basis we’re probably in the same ballpark, but clearly we had challenges with some of our programs," with 83 cancellations for the delayed 787 Dreamliner, Tinseth said. The two rivals have generally split the market in the past few years and "I don’t see any major trends in terms of orders this year," he said easy online payday loans.
Airbus also kept the lead in deliveries, which are when planemakers get the bulk of payments. Boeing said it delivered 481 planes in 2009, while Airbus shipped 498, according to a person familiar with the Toulouse, France-based company’s production who declined to be identified because its figures won’t be released until Tuesday. Airbus has held the lead every year since 2003.
Boeing’s deliveries in 2009 rose from 375 in 2008, when factories had been shuttered during a two-month strike by machinists. Even with the recession, Boeing and Airbus combined built a record number of aircraft last year as the long lead time for jets and the threat of penalties for last-minute cancellations protected manufacturing rates.
Both companies are scaling back now to better match demand after airlines pushed back hundreds of delivery dates because of the global economic crisis.
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the government is unlikely to recoup its investments in insurer American International Group Inc. or the automakers General Motors Co. and Chrysler Group LLC.
Geithner, in testimony today before the Congressional Oversight Panel, also said he chose to extend the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program to give the Obama administration more time to unwind its bank-rescue efforts. The economy faces “significant headwinds,” and housing markets remain dependent on government support even as they are stabilizing, he said.
Still, U.S. financial and economic conditions have improved, Geithner told the panel in Washington. The Treasury now expects to make money on its banking investments, if not on its efforts to stabilize the automobile and insurance industries.
“It’s unlikely that we will be repaid for all of our investments in AIG, G.M. and Chrysler,” Geithner said.
The Government Accountability Office yesterday said that U.S. taxpayers will lose $30.4 billion from the auto-industry bailout, down from a prior estimate of $43.7 billion. The GAO report predicted a similar loss of $30.4 billion in AIG, down from a previous estimate of $31.5 billion.
Bank Repayment
Asked about future repayment by the largest banks still with government investments, Geithner said it is “generally desirable” that they raise all the money they need to repay in equity offerings.
“Cleaner exit is better than a staged exit,” he said. “I’m not sure that is going to be possible in every circumstance.”
While he didn’t discuss Citigroup Inc.’s efforts to extricate itself from the TARP, Geithner did note Bank of America Corp.’s repayment, which came yesterday. “I got a check for $45 billion,” he said, adding that was a “good thing.”
Under questioning by panelists, Geithner defended the government’s handling of last year’s AIG rescue, which has come under fire because banks were given the full value on credit- default swaps purchased from the New York-based insurer. Geithner was president of the New York Federal Reserve at the time and had a leading role in the bailout.
“You cannot selectively default on contractual obligations without courting collapse,” Geithner told the panel, explaining why the government paid banks 100 cents on the dollar. “There is no other way in the context of that storm to protect the economy from that failure.”
Extend TARP
The Treasury chief also faced skepticism about his decision to extend the TARP until next October.
The program is “essentially a blank check to finance any macroeconomic stimulus initiative that the executive branch can imagine, to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars,” said panel member Paul Atkins, a former Republican member of the Securities and Exchange Commission easy payday loans.
“The economy would not be growing again without TARP,” Geithner said.
The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.8 percent annual rate in the third quarter after shrinking for a year. The economy will expand 2.6 percent in 2010, according to the median forecast of 58 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News this month. The jobless rate will average 10 percent next year.
Assisting AIG
While assisting AIG and the auto companies will cost taxpayers, the Treasury predicts a $19 billion profit on its banking investments, Geithner said.
Long-term TARP costs will be no higher than $140 billion, the Treasury said. The ultimate return will depend on how the economy fares, Geithner said.
The Treasury expects “substantial income” from sales of TARP warrants, received as part of the government’s investment in banks, in coming weeks, Geithner said. He said that auctions will often bring the highest returns for the government.
Banks that pay back their capital injections must also dispose of the warrants that the Treasury received, either by repurchasing them or allowing the department to sell them. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. redeemed its warrants for $1.1 billion, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. opted to allow the government to auction its warrants after the Treasury rejected an appraisal as too low.
Personnel Shift
Geithner appeared before the panel, led by Harvard law professor Elizabeth Warren, as it prepared for a personnel shift. Representative Jeb Hensarling, a Texas Republican, resigned yesterday.
Hensarling, who is being replaced by Dallas attorney Mark McWatters, has repeatedly criticized the bailout. George Rasley, a spokesman for the congressman, said Hensarling had agreed to stay on the panel for the expected duration of the TARP. The effort was set to expire Dec. 31 until Geithner extended it yesterday.
In his testimony, Geithner told the panel that the Treasury can’t force small banks to participate in initiatives aimed at stimulating small-business lending. He said these programs have been less successful than hoped because banks have been wary of submitting to the extra regulation that comes with taking TARP aid.
Geithner said parts of the securitization markets are “still impaired,” especially for securities backed by commercial mortgages. He also hailed improvements in the markets for asset-backed securities, which he said are no longer as dependent on publicly supported markets like the Federal Reserve’s Term Asset-Backed Securities Lending Facility.
Midland States Bank hired Jason M. Ramthun as vice president for commercial relationship management at its Chesterfield office.
He is responsible for overseeing the office’s commercial banking business, establishing long-term partnerships and providing financial advice to the bank and its commercial customers.
Ramthun joined Midland States Bank from First Bank, where he was a vice president for commercial lending.
He also has been a bank examiner for the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago advance payday loans.
He is on the finance committee of Voices for Children and is a member of the St. Louis Sports Commission Associates, a group of local young professionals who volunteer to help the commission.
Loans to households and companies in Europe posted their second straight annual decline in October as the economic slump curtailed demand for credit and made banks more reluctant to lend.
Loans to the private sector fell 0.8 percent from a year earlier after a drop of 0.3 percent in September, the European Central Bank said today. On the month, loans slipped 0.2 percent. M3 money-supply growth, which the ECB uses as a gauge of future inflation, slowed to 0.3 percent in October, the lowest rate since records began in 1981, from 1.8 percent in September.
The economy of the 16-nation euro region resumed expansion in the third quarter after global trade boosted exports and government stimulus measures fueled domestic consumption. Still, growth is likely to remain muted unless credit flows improve and companies and households increase spending. The ECB has cut its benchmark interest rate to a record low of 1 percent and is flooding banks with cash in an effort to revive lending.
“The euro-zone recovery could be held back by a significant number of companies being unable to get the credit that they need,” said Howard Archer, chief economist at IHS Global Insight in London. Today’s data point to “very muted inflationary pressures” and “support the case for the ECB to only very gradually withdraw its emergency liquidity measures and to keep interest rates down at 1 percent until deep into 2010,” he said.
Weak Banks
While an ECB survey last month showed European banks expect to ease credit standards for companies in the fourth quarter after tightening them less aggressively in the third, it may take up to three years for lending to return to pre-crisis levels, according to Daiwa Securities SMBC Europe Ltd.
In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, banks may have to write off another 90 billion euros ($136 billion) on bad loans and securitization instruments, the Bundesbank said yesterday.
The world’s largest financial-services companies have racked up more than $1.7 trillion of losses and write-downs since the start of the financial crisis, according to Bloomberg data.
The euro-area economy will expand 0.7 percent in 2010 and 1.5 percent in 2011, after contracting 4 percent this year, the European Commission said on Nov. 3.
M1 Growth Slows
M1, which captures the most liquid form of money in the economy such as cash and overnight deposits, grew 11.8 percent in October from a year earlier, the ECB said, down from an annual increase of 12.8 percent in September.
The ECB has said it will “gradually” withdraw the additional liquidity it has pumped into the banking system as financial markets normalize and the economy strengthens. It has already signaled it is unlikely to offer banks 12-month loans next year after its third tender in December.
Economists don’t expect the ECB to raise interest rates until the third quarter of next year, a Bloomberg survey shows.
“From the real economy side, there’s no single reason why they should hike interest rates or even think about hiking interest rates,” said Carsten Brzeski, senior economist at ING Group in Brussels. “Economic growth is still too fragile.”
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