European Central Bank Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny said Standard & Poor
A Qatar-owned company says it has taken over the famous Raffles Hotel Singapore and an affiliated luxury hotel in Paris in the latest high-profile acquisitions by the energy-rich Gulf state.
The Qatar National Hotels Co. said Saturday that it recently took ownership of the 125-year-old Raffles Hotel Singapore and Le Royal Monceau Raffles hotel in Paris.
It did not disclose financial terms in the deal with Toronto-based Fairmont Raffles Hotels International, which had owned both hotels one hour payday loan.
State-owned Qatari companies have been snapping up investments at a brisk pace in recent months, including stakes in European energy companies, Germany’s largest builder Hochtief AG and majority ownership in the French football team Paris Saint-Germain.
American employers stepped up their hiring in December, bringing the unemployment rate down again.
The economy added 200,000 jobs in the month, the Labor Department reported Friday, closing out the year with 1.6 million jobs gained in 2011. Only 940,000 jobs were added the year before.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 8.5%, its lowest level since February 2009.
"This is a good solid report, and the big message here is that 2011 was much better than 2010," said Scot Melland, CEO of Dice Holdings, a provider of career websites. "We’re headed in the right direction."
The encouraging news was coupled with revisions to the Labor Department’s data going back five years, which showed the unemployment rate has fallen for four consecutive months.
While private businesses have been adding jobs consistently since March 2010, the government has been slashing payrolls. In December, private employers added 212,000 jobs, and the public sector cut 12,000 jobs.
Young workers getting hired again
The manufacturing, health care and education industries were all bright spots in December, each adding more than 20,000 jobs cheap business cards. Even the construction industry, which had been bleeding jobs the two prior months, hired another 17,000 workers.
Jobs in retail and the food services were also on the rise, as were positions for couriers and messengers. In spite of the Labor Department’s seasonal adjustments, some analysts caution that these positions could be related to holiday hiring.
Still, more than 13 million people remain unemployed in the United States, and 42.5% of them have been so for six months or more.
Overall, the job market has a long way to go to fully recover from the financial crisis. The economy still needs to add about 6 million jobs to get back to 2008 employment levels.
Were you falling out of the middle class even before the Great Recession hit? Are you better or worse off than your parents? Do you have a job but still feel you aren’t upwardly mobile? Email realstories@cnnmoney.com with your name and phone number, and you could be featured in an upcoming story on CNNMoney.
Volatile markets and shaky economic times have made Americans hungrier than ever for financial advice, and Larry Swedroe is happy to oblige.
It may not be the advice they expect, however. Rather than telling you how to react to the latest news out of Europe or Washington, Swedroe wants you to tune it out. Especially, he says, you should ignore the experts who predict that the news will be good or bad for the stock market.
He’s just published his 11th book on investing, but Swedroe is no market guru. If anything, he’s an anti-guru. By the time you read about an event, he says, its implications are already reflected in the price of everything from stocks to bonds to crude oil. No one prognosticator can know more than millions of market participants.
“When they’re right, they attribute it to their genius,” Swedroe says. “When they’re wrong, they blame bad luck. There are no clear crystal balls, only cloudy ones.”
In the new book, “Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make,” Swedroe lists 77 common errors, several of which are especially dangerous during turbulent times. Being swayed by popular opinion is mistake No. 6, and paying attention to the experts is No. 10. If you try to time the market in any way, you’re guilty of No. 49.
Swedroe’s advice is so simple that it’s difficult for most people to follow. You should invest in low-cost index funds, diversify across asset classes and be cognizant of tax considerations.
“It’s not just buy and hold,” he explains. “It’s buy and hold, tax-manage, rebalance and if anything happens like a birth or death in the family or an inheritance, then revisit your investment plan. People think buy and hold means do nothing, and it’s more than that.”
Swedroe criticizes brokerage firms, mutual funds, hedge funds and even the financial media because he thinks they prey on investors’ weaknesses. Mistake No. 29, for example, is believing that actively managed funds can beat the market, and No personal loans for bad credit. 53 is working with a commission-based adviser.
Swedroe is research director at Clayton-based Buckingham Asset Management, which works on a fee-only basis and puts its clients’ $3.5 billion of assets into index-like funds.
The firm had just $11 million of assets when Swedroe joined in 1994, and his books have helped Buckingham grow. He insists, though, that they’re written to educate, not market a service.
Indeed, there’s no hard sell here. Swedroe says he’s happy if a do-it-yourself investor follows his methods, or even if a reader chooses a competing firm that embraces the same principles.
Swedroe’s books do get repetitive; “Rational Investing in Irrational Times,” published in 2002, was also organized as a collection of common mistakes. (Back then, he tallied only 52 errors.)
Each volume, though, adds new research and examples, and Swedroe says he’ll keep evangelizing as long as he can think of new ways to spread his message. He had thought “Investment Mistakes” might be his last book, but he’s now working on a shorter, breezier primer for people with brief attention spans.
Swedroe figures that his books have sold almost 200,000 copies combined, a respectable but not huge following.
What’s most rewarding, he says, is hearing from readers such as a doctor who used to day-trade and obsess over his investments. His wife was threatening to leave because he had little time for her or their small child. Reading a Swedroe book saved his marriage.
That’s why this anti-guru is so passionate about his message. It’s not just about money, he says, it’s about life.
The so-called January effect, in which small-cap stocks have tended to outperform large-cap stocks at the start of each year, is not evoking the same bold confidence that it has during more predictable market periods.
“Small-cap stocks do tend to benefit from the increased attention that investors pay to their stock portfolios at the beginning of each year,” acknowledged Tom Jacobs, lead adviser for Motley Fool Special Ops (a special situations and opportunistic value service) in Marfa, Texas. “Having said that, however, a number of factors such as Europe’s problems are really freaking out investors right now.”
For example, his current favorite small-cap stock, Canadian-based Primero Mining Corp. (PPP), is actually a play on precious metals. That company owns Mexico’s highly productive San Dimas gold and silver mine; its cash flow equals its market capitalization; it carries little debt; and it has stated its intention to expand its metals assets in the Americas.
Investor nervousness about stocks of all sizes has encouraged the managers of some of the better-performing small-cap portfolios to aggressively seek out stocks they consider currently undervalued.
“Investors should remember that, in an improving economic environment, small caps tend to outperform large-cap stocks,” said Matthew Hart, portfolio manager of the $1.1 billion Invesco Van Kampen Small Cap Growth Fund A (VASCX), which has a three-year annualized return of 13 percent.
But while small caps are capable of supplying high growth and high returns, the economic sensitivity of these companies can never be disregarded, Hart cautioned.
“Small-cap stocks still look good and their valuations are reasonable when compared to large-cap stocks,” said William McVail, portfolio manager of the Turner Small Cap Growth Fund (TSCEX), which has a three-year annualized return of 21 percent. “We like the energy sector and especially the natural gas plays.”
The small-cap choices they prefer feature unique characteristics.
One example owned by both Hart and McVail is Clean Harbors Inc. (CLH), one of the nation’s largest providers of environmental services. As the largest operator of non-nuclear hazardous waste disposal in North America, Clean Harbors serves more than 50,000 customers.
Strong financially with modest debt, Clean Harbors has the assets, facilities and expertise that are difficult for competitors to match. McVail considers Clean Harbors especially well-positioned to profit from hydraulic fracturing — the method by which natural gas is released from shale rock. That practice has evoked controversy as its environmental, health and safety impacts are debated.
Insight Capital Research and Management Inc. in Walnut Creek, Calif., also recommends Clean Harbors. Insight Capital’s CEO and CIO Jim Collins, a longtime small-cap expert, predicts that “2012 will be a stock picker’s market,” requiring “discipline and patience.” Health care, technology and energy are Collins’ favored small-cap themes for the year.
Collins’ two other favorite small-caps are unique: Questcor Pharmaceuticals (QCOR), which develops medications for central nervous system disorders such as epilepsy and multiple sclerosis, and Silicon Motion Technology Corp. (SIMO), which manufactures graphics, video and audio applications for products ranging from handheld devices to LCD products and whose clients include the likes of Hewlett-Packard and Intel.
“I see the employment picture improving in 2012, and I believe we’re in the sixth or seventh inning of the bad housing environment,” said McVail of Turner Small Cap Growth. “For example, we have a portfolio holding in TrueBlue Inc. (TBI), a blue-collar staffing company in Tacoma, Wash., and any turn in the economy is going to be reflected in a company like this.”
TrueBlue, with most of its branch offices located in the U.S., primarily sends manual-labor temps to small and midsize businesses. With strong finances, no debt and plenty of cash, its business model and brand are well-respected.
The top portfolio holdings of Turner Small Cap Growth were recently Healthspring Inc., Taleo Corp. A, Genesee & Wyoming Inc., The Finish Line Inc., Clean Harbors Inc., Questcor Pharmaceuticals, SuccessFactors Inc., Cubist Pharmaceuticals, Northern Oil & Gas Inc. and WellCare Health Plans. This “no-load” (no sales charge) fund requires a $2,500 minimum initial investment.
While an economic upturn is still not a certainty, it would make a positive difference for small-cap stocks in 2012.
“The U.S. consumer is gradually improving, and the employment picture, while not great, is at least stabilizing,” says Hart of Invesco Van Kampen Small Cap Growth. “What we haven’t seen on the consumer side is wage growth and, once we start to see that, I think the picture will improve even more.”
Some airline customers won’t see savings this weekend even though several federal taxes on tickets have expired.
US Airways and American Airlines raised fares to offset the tax savings.
That means instead of passing along the savings from expired taxes, the carriers are pocketing the money while customers pay the same amount as before.
But other airlines left their prices unchanged on Saturday. Consumers could save money by shopping around.
The expired taxes can total $25 or more on a typical $300 round-trip ticket. For a September trip between Dallas and San Francisco, the cheapest American flight on Travelocity.com was $24 higher than offerings from United, Continental, Delta and Virgin America, which did not raise fares.
The taxes expired after midnight Friday night when Congress failed to pass legislation to keep the Federal Aviation Administration running.
That gave airlines a choice: They could do nothing _ and pass the savings to customers _ or they could grab some of the money themselves.
“We adjusted prices so the bottom-line price of a ticket remains the same as it was before … expiration of federal excise taxes,” said American spokesman Tim Smith. US Airways spokesman John McDonald said much the same thing _ passengers will pay the same amount for a ticket as they did before the taxes expired.
Smith declined to say whether the increase would be rescinded if Congress revives the travel taxes.
Tom Parsons, who runs the Bestfares.com travel website, said consumers should get a break.
“Why would the airlines deserve it?” he said. “They already hit us with enough fees. Now they’re keeping the government fees too.”
The Transportation Department says it will lose $200 million a week. J.P. Morgan analyst Jamie Baker said airlines could take in an extra $25 million a day by raising fares during the tax holiday.
Parsons said competitive pressure eventually will force the airlines to match _ either they’ll all pass the tax savings on to passengers, or they’ll all raise fares and keep the money themselves.
Southwest Airlines and its AirTran subsidiary raised prices by $8 per round trip, said spokeswoman Marilee McInnis.
Southwest’s support could be crucial if the airlines decide to keep the tax money. Southwest carries more U.S. passengers than anyone, and it effectively sets rates on many routes. Southwest torpedoed attempts by other airlines to raise prices in the last two weeks. CEO Gary Kelly has publicly worried that airlines could frighten away passengers by raising prices too high.
That may be less of a fear this time, however, since consumers wouldn’t be shelling out more money for tickets _ they just wouldn’t get an unexpected discount, courtesy of Congress.
Several federal travel taxes expired when Congress adjourned for the weekend without passing FAA legislation. Lawmakers couldn’t break a stalemate over a Republican proposal to make it harder for airline and railroad workers to unionize.
Air traffic controllers stayed on the job, but thousands of other FAA employees were likely to be furloughed.
Airlines stopped collecting a 7.5 percent ticket tax, a separate excise tax of $3.70 per takeoff and landing, and other fees. Those add up to about $32 on a round-trip itinerary with base fare of $240 and one stop in each direction.
Other government fees for security and local airport projects are still being collected. They boost the final cost of that $240 base-fare ticket to $300.
Passengers who bought tickets before this weekend but travel during the FAA shutdown could be entitled to a refund of the taxes that they paid, said Treasury Department spokeswoman Sandra Salstrom. She said it’s unclear whether the government can keep taxes for travel at a time when it doesn’t have authority to collect the money.
When the temperature went up close to record-breaking levels Thursday, production lines at Italpasta Ltd. in Brampton went down.
But plant manager Riccardo Bordignon wasn
WATERLOO, ONT.
An unexpected drop in hiring put an end to the excitement that had been bubbling up on Wall Street over the past two weeks.
Stock indexes fell sharply Friday, erasing most of the week’s gains, after the government reported that U.S. employers created the fewest number of jobs in nine months. The 18,000 net jobs in created in June were a fraction of what many economists expected and dampened hopes that the economy was improving. Private companies added jobs at the slowest pace in more than a year. The unemployment rate edged up to 9.2 percent, its highest level this year.
A broader measure of weakness in the labor market was even worse. Among Americans who want to work, 16.2 percent are either unemployed or unable to find full-time jobs. That was up from 15.8 percent in May.
“There’s just a lot more evidence than before that we’re in an extended weak patch,” said Brian Gendreau, market strategist for Cetera Financial Group. He said private economists will likely reduce their projections for overall economic growth this year.
The Standard and Poor’s 500 index fell 9.42 points, or 0.7 percent, to 1,343.80. That eliminated the index’s gains from Thursday and left it with a 0.3 percent gain for the week.
The Dow Jones industrial average lost 62.29, or 0.5 percent, to 12,657.20. The Dow, which had been down by as much as 150 points Friday, had only its second down day over the past nine. The Nasdaq composite dropped 12.85, or 0.4 percent, to 2,859.81. It was its first loss in two weeks.
Companies whose business would be most affected by a weakening economy were hit hardest. Bank of America Corp., General Electric Co. and Boeing Co. were among the biggest decliners in the Dow average.
“The chance of a July bounce back in the economy looks pretty slim now,” said Jay Tyner, president of Semmax Financial Group in Greensboro, North Carolina.
Expectations for Friday’s jobs report were raised Thursday after payroll processor ADP said that private companies added more than 150,000 jobs in June. While the ADP report does not always accurately predict the broader Labor Department report, some investors said that the apparent clashing pictures of the job market were due to a jobs pickup in the last weeks of June.
Phil Orlando, chief market strategist at Federated Investors, said he believes manufacturers began rehiring workers in late June following signs that Japan’s economy was improving. Hiring slumped in May due partly to high fuel prices and disruptions of industrial supplies because of the earthquake and tsunami disasters in Japan guaranteed online payday loans.
Traders rushed to the relative safety of government bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.01 percent from 3.19 percent just before the jobs report came out. Bond yields fall when demand for them increases.
Oil prices fell 2.5 percent. The slowdown in hiring suggested that demand for fuel will increase less than traders had expected. Lower fuel prices could eventually help the economy by leaving consumers with more money to spend on things other than gas.
Weak economic data this spring pushed stocks near their lowest levels of the year two weeks ago. Markets recovered last week, giving the Dow its best week in two years, on signals that the economy was rebounding. Stock indexes closed near their 2011 highs on Thursday.
Despite the weak job market, analysts still expect earnings at big U.S. companies to be strong. Companies are benefiting from export growth as the weak dollar makes American goods cheaper, and therefore more competitive, in overseas markets. Aluminum maker Alcoa Inc., one of the 30 companies in the Dow average, will be the first major corporation to report second-quarter financial results on Monday.
Orlando, the market strategist, said investors will be looking to see how companies have responded to higher commodity costs and a shortage of parts from Japan. “It’s not going to be an earnings season where you can have a blanket proclamation regarding how companies are doing this time around,” he said.
In other company news, Rupert Murdoch’s media conglomerate News Corp. fell nearly 4 percent as a phone-hacking scandal at its News of the World tabloid deepened. A former editor of the paper who later served as spokesman for British Prime Minister David Cameron was arrested Friday. News Corp. shuttered the 168-year old paper on Thursday in hopes of saving its deal to take over the lucrative British satellite TV company British Sky Broadcasting. Government approval of that deal will now be delayed because of the crisis, which has shocked Britain.
The Dow rose 0.6 for the week, the Nasdaq 1.6 percent.
Two stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume was lighter than average at 3.1 billion shares.
As the jobless rate inches up and the economic recovery sputters, investors looking for a few good stocks may want to follow the money _ or rather the TV, the beloved Fender guitar, the baubles from grandma, the wedding ring.
Profits at pawn shop operator Ezcorp Inc. have jumped by an average 46 percent annually for five years. The stock has doubled from a year ago, to about $38. And the Wall Street pros who analyze the company think it will go higher yet. All seven of them are telling investors to buy the Austin, Texas, company.
Is the economy still just in a soft patch? A hard patch? Will the market rise or drop? Even experts are just guessing. In investing, it’s often better to focus on what you can safely predict, even if that safety is found in companies that thrive on hard times. One good bet: The jobless aren’t likely to find work anytime soon. And companies profiting from their bad fortune will continue to do so.
Among them:
_ Stock in payday lender Advance America Cash Advance Centers (AEA) has doubled from a year ago, to just under $8. Rival Cash America International Inc. (CSH) is up 64 percent, to $58. Such firms typically provide high interest loans _ due on payday _ to people who can’t borrow from traditional lenders.
_ Profits at Encore Capital Group, a debt collector that targets people with unpaid credit cards bills and other debts, rose nearly 50 percent last year. Encore has faced class action suits in several states, including California, over its collection practices. The Minnesota attorney general filed a suit in March. No matter. The stock (ECPG) is up 59 percent from a year ago, to more than $30.
_ Stock in Rent-A-Center (RCII), which leases televisions, couches, computers and more, is up 57 percent from a year ago to nearly $32. Nine of the 11 analysts covering the company say it will rise further and that investors should buy it.
The idea of investing in companies catering to the hard-up might not be palatable to some people. But it is profitable.
Mark Montagna, an analyst at Avondale Partners in Nashville, has developed what he calls “value retail” index of 11 companies _ dollar stores, off-price shops and clothing and footwear chains favored by shoppers looking for deals. The index is up 149 percent since February 2009, which marked the lowest month-end closing value for the S&P 500 during the recession.
Desperation stocks continue to be lifted by a drumbeat of bad news. Consumer spending, adjusted for inflation, has fallen for two months in a row _ the first back-to-back fall since November 2009. On Friday, the government reported the unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent in June, sending stocks in tailspin. On top of that, one in seven Americans now live below the poverty line, a 17-year high.
“It’s been a good year,” says John Coffey Jr., a Sterne Agee analyst, referring to the companies he follows, not the economy. Coffey created a stir late last month when he issued a report arguing shares of Ezcorp (EZPW), which also makes payday loans, were worth a third more than their price and urged investors to buy. The stock rose 7 percent in just a few hours.
The next day a widely followed survey showed consumer confidence at a seven month low.
“Here we are celebrating the second year of recovery and confidence is at levels consistent with a recession,” says David Rosenberg, an economist at money manager Gluskin Sheff. “The folks in the survey are probably not the same folks shopping at Tiffany’s.” (That company’s stock is also up nearly 50 percent since March, to about $82.)
But they probably are shopping at Dollar General Corp. Stock in the discount retailer recently hit $34.13, up 50 percent from its IPO in late 2009. And it may be worth about a third more, at least according Avondale’s Montagna.
“People are broke. They’re all chasing value. It’s a seismic shift in mindset,” he says.
Some experts think these down-and-out stocks are just as likely to fall now instead of rise. It’s not that they think the recovery will turn brisk and people will get jobs and shop elsewhere. It’s that things could get worse _ making customers too poor to borrow or buy even from these outfits. Rent-A-Center, the furniture store, is already suffering. Some of its core low-income shoppers have seen money they would have spent leasing a couch or cocktail table eaten up by rising food and fuel bills.
But not to despair. According to Nick Mitchell, an analyst at Northcoast Research, wealthier customers, say those making $45,000, are feeling so strapped lately that they’re starting to rent furniture, too.
Montagna, the Dollar General bull, says he’s seeing people earning $70,000 or more at that chain, too. Even he shops there now.
“If I’m driving past one, I stop in,” he says, adding triumphantly, “I just bought toothpaste _ Crest _ two tubes for $4.”
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