Business World

Stocks seesaw on mixed earnings

Tuesday, 04. May 2010 von Jim

Stocks ended mixed after a choppy session Wednesday, as differing profit reports from Apple and Yahoo weighed on the tech sector and investors remained wary following strong quarterly reports from Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 8 points, or less than 0.1%, to end at 11,124.92. The S&P 500 index (SPX) fell 1 point, or 0.1%, to settle at 1,205.93, and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) rose 4 points, or 0.2%, to close at 2,504.61.

"As we get beyond earnings, attention is going to turn right back to the housing and job markets," said Dave Hinnenkamp, chief executive of KDV Wealth Management. "The downturn has left a really big scar, and investors who got burned will be cautious for some time."

Stocks finished Tuesday’s session in positive territory, thanks to better-than-expected earnings from Goldman Sachs and several consumer companies.

"Investors were holding their breath for this earnings season, and it looks like it’s going to be decent," Hinnenkamp said. "This makes people comfortable saying we’re in a recovery process, but it’s going to be a slow one."

Tech earnings: Late Tuesday, iPod and Mac maker Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) posted a record quarter that blew past Wall Street’s estimates. Apple shares ended more than 6.1% higher.

Yahoo (YHOO, Fortune 500) also delivered earnings that beat expectations, but its sales came in below estimates. Shares closed down 4.9%.

"The tech sector leads out of the recession," Hinnenkamp said. "After that we’ll be looking for the industrial and material sectors to rise — and once we move forward, attention will turn to the energy sector."

Financial earnings: Earlier Wednesday, Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) said it swung to a $1.8 billion profit in the first quarter Wednesday before the bell, as strong trading revenue boosted the Wall Street firm’s latest results. Shares of Morgan ended 4.2% higher.

Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) reported a $2.5 billion profit before the bell, beating Wall Street expectations. The company said that credit conditions have "turned the corner" from the weakness of the financial crisis. Still, Wells shares fell almost 2% by the end of trading.

Overall, the finance sector ended 10.8% higher Wednesday.

"We’re not unreasonably priced at these levels, considering earnings," Hinnenkamp said, "but it’s not a deep-value market, either."

Other corporate results: In addition to banks, investors digested quarterly results from several Dow components:

– AT&T (T, Fortune 500) beat estimates on a boost from strong sales of Apple’s iPhone;

– Boeing (BA, Fortune 500)’s profit and revenue dropped amid fewer airplane deliveries;

– McDonalds (MCD, Fortune 500)’ earnings rose above predictions as sales rose across all its markets, especially Europe and Asia;

– United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500) also beat estimates.

Also, Chrysler announced that it earned its first operating profit since exiting bankruptcy on June 10, 2009. The profit follows nearly $4 billion of losses logged by the automaker during that time.

The results continued after the markets closed, with Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500) and other major names reporting results after the bell. The coffee chain handily beat profit and sales estimates, and the company lifted 2010 guidance. Shares were up 2% in after-hours trade.

In other company news, General Motors announced Wednesday morning that it had made a final payment of $5.8 billion late Tuesday to the U.S. and Canadian governments, paying off the last of its $6.7 billion in loans.

Outlook: "Psychological issues will continue to drive the markets," said KDV’s Hinnenkamp.

He expects a slow but continued higher trend, with the S&P around 1,200 in the coming weeks, and the Dow around 11,250.

"The economy is improving, but slowly," Hinnenkamp said. "Thus recovery wont come as quickly hoped for, and a sustained bounceback can come only once housing and jobs kick in."

But even negative news outside of the real estate and employment sectors could put a damper on the uptick, Hinnenkamp added.

"Any piece of bad news, people worry there’s an Armageddon," he said. "But there’s always good and bad news out there — it depends where you choose to focus."

World markets: European shares, including the FTSE 100 in Britain, France’s CAC 40 and Germany’s DAX, ended lower.

Asian markets ended the session mixed. Japan’s Nikkei rallied 1.7% and the Shanghai Composite surged 1.8%. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong lost 0.5%.

Other markets: The dollar edged higher against the euro but remained weak versus the Japanese yen and the U.K. pound.

The price of oil fell 17 cents to settle at $83.68 a barrel. Wednesday marked the first day of the June contract.

COMEX gold for June delivery prices rose $9.60 to settle at $1,148.20 an ounce.

Treasury prices were higher, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year note at 3.78%. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. 

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NYT: Continental, United in merger talks

Saturday, 17. April 2010 von Jim

Shares of Continental Airlines Inc. reached a new high Thursday after the New York Times reported that the Houston airline carrier has reopened merger talks with United Airlines.

The talks are in early stages and may rapidly fall apart, the New York Times’ sources warned.

Continental (NYSE: CAL), which held merger talks with United in 2008, was reportedly taken by surprise when NYT broke the news of the United-US Airways talks last week.

The company’s shares were already on the rise on April 12 after an analyst upgraded its stock to “buy”from “hold” amidst all the merger talk overnight pay day loans.

Analysts have said that a Continental-United merger would make more sense, giving United routes to South American and access in New York, noted the Times. Chicago-based UAL Corp. (NASDAQ: UAUA) is the parent company of United Airlines.

Continental’s shares were up 2.2 percent, to $23.77, Thursday after having climbed to a new high of $24.29 earlier in the day.

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BofA Merrill Lynch funds DynCorp. buyout

Monday, 12. April 2010 von Jim

Bank of America Merrill Lynch is one of several financial institutions providing debt financing Cerberus Capital Management’s acquisition of DynCorp International Inc.

The deal is valued at $1.5 billion, including the assumption of debt. It is slated to close in the third or fourth quarter.

DynCorp International, based in Falls Church Va., provides government services related to U.S. national security and foreign policy objectives. The company (NYSE:DCP) operates programs in logistics, contingency operations and training to reinforce security.

New York-based Cerberus Capital Management is a private-investment firm with $23 billion under management.

Along with BofA Merrill Lynch, the lenders financing the deal include Citigroup Global Markets Inc., Barclays Bank plc and Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. Each institution also acted as a financial adviser to Cerberus.

BofA Merrill Lynch is a global strategic adviser and underwriter, raising nearly $3 trillion for clients worldwide over the last 10 years. It is a division of Charlotte-based Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC).

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SRP increases cuts on solar incentives

Sunday, 11. April 2010 von Jim

Salt River Project is cutting back on incentives planned for home solar installations in the wake of increased demand, and will begin instituting those changes after Friday.

SRP will lower its incentives from $2.70 per installed watt of solar power to $2.15 per installed watt.

The state’s second largest utility had been scheduled to lower the amount to $2.55 May 1 but, has been inundated with applications, said Lori Singleton, manager of environmental initiatives for SRP. “Due to the overwhelming response of the program, we’ve decided to lower the rates more this year,” he said.

SRP officials made the decision to lower the incentives Thursday afternoon and were contacting installers to inform them that applications had to be in by 5 p.m. Friday in order to qualify for the current incentive rate.

SRP was hit with 211 applications for incentives in March, more than double any previous month since last June, right before the utility dropped the amount for the first time.

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Slim tops Forbes’ list of world’s richest people

Saturday, 13. March 2010 von Jim

Mexico’s Carlos Slim, 70, the son of an immigrant shopkeeper who amassed a $53.5 billion fortune and bought a major stake in the New York Times, became the first person from a developing nation to be named the world’s richest person instant credit report.

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Germany’s Weber Leads Race to Succeed Trichet as ECB President

Wednesday, 17. February 2010 von Jim

Germany’s Axel Weber leads the race to succeed Jean-Claude Trichet as president of the European Central Bank and Portugal’s Vitor Constancio is likely to be his deputy, a survey of economists shows.

Of 27 economists in the Bloomberg News survey, 24 said Weber will be chosen to replace Trichet, whose term ends on Oct. 31 next year. Only three picked Italy’s Mario Draghi, Weber’s main rival for the job. Twenty economists said Constancio will succeed Lucas Papademos as vice president when his term expires on May 31 this year. Euro-region finance ministers are due to vote on the vice president post today.

Jockeying for the ECB presidency has already started as governments across the 16-nation euro region grapple with a fiscal crisis that has prompted investors to question the sustainability of the monetary union. Installing Weber at the ECB’s helm next year would give Europe an outspoken inflation fighter who has stressed the need for fiscal discipline to protect the euro.

“Weber has a very strong personality and will definitely give the euro a very powerful and visible face,” said Laurent Bilke, a former ECB economist now at Nomura International Plc in London, who expects Bundesbank President Weber to win. “He’s a recognized economist and will make a difference. Under him, the ECB may even grow in its international stature.”

Weber’s Influence

Weber, 52, has sped to the top of European policy making. Like Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, he is a former academic. He joined the Bundesbank as president from the University of Cologne in 2004 after a scandal over hotel expenses forced predecessor Ernst Welteke to resign.

Weber quickly established himself as one of the most influential of the ECB’s 22 Governing Council members, often pre-empting policy shifts and moving currency and bond markets with his comments.

He landed on Trichet’s so-called “Black List” last November by revealing the ECB would tighten its lending to banks. The remarks breached ECB protocol that major announcements be made by the president and also came within a week of a council meeting, when officials are supposed to refrain from commenting on policy.

Weber is perceived by economists as one of the ECB’s toughest inflation-fighting “hawks” because of the emphasis he places on curbing risks to price stability.

Hawks and Doves

If Constancio wins the ECB vice presidency, he would strengthen Weber’s chances by lending balance to his ticket. Constancio, Portugal’s central bank chief, is known as a “dove” who pays more attention to economic growth. Between them they would also ensure representation from northern and southern Europe at the top of the ECB.

Luxembourg’s Yves Mersch and Belgium’s Peter Praet are also on the ballot for the vice presidency business cards design. If finance ministers pick Mersch, who like Weber has a reputation as an inflation hawk, Draghi’s chances of replacing Trichet would rise.

Draghi, 62, left Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to become governor of the Italian central bank in January 2006. He replaced Antonio Fazio, who resigned after a criminal investigation was opened into his handling of Italian bank mergers. A former economics professor like Weber, Draghi chairs the Financial Stability Board and has pushed for limits on bankers’ pay and stronger capital requirements.

A spokesman for Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said last week that the government backs Draghi for the ECB job.

‘Neck and Neck’

German Chancellor Angela Merkel has won French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s support for Weber’s candidacy, German magazines Spiegel and WirtschaftsWoche reported this month.

“It will be a neck-and-neck race,” said Holger Sandte, chief European economist at WestLB Equity Markets in Dusseldorf, who expects Draghi to win. “Policy makers probably want someone who’s a bit more diplomatic than Weber,” he said, adding the ECB “resides in Frankfurt and it’s pretty much designed in a German way.”

Germany, Europe’s largest economy, hasn’t held a major European policy position since Walter Hallstein led the Commission of the European Economic Community from 1958 to 1967. It didn’t put up a candidate when the ECB’s first president was picked in 1998, pushing instead for Wim Duisenberg of the Netherlands in exchange for the ECB being headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany’s financial capital.

The decision on Trichet’s successor “ultimately comes down to politics,” said Nick Matthews, senior economist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London, who believes Weber will prevail. “I would imagine the argument that ‘it’s Germany’s turn’ is being used in the discussion.”

Musical Chairs

Whoever takes over from Trichet, the ECB’s six-member Executive Board may need to be reconfigured to ensure one country doesn’t dominate it.

With Juergen Stark and Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, Germany and Italy are already represented on the board. Economists said one of them will probably have to step down before his term expires to make way for Weber or Draghi and avoid giving either country too much weight in the ECB’s decision making.

“Stark will be upgraded to Bundesbank president,” said Carsten Brzeski, senior economist at ING Group in Brussels, who believes Weber will win the race. “Stark is a good Prussian. He’s dutiful and does everything that’s good for his fatherland. He’ll clean his desk.”

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Lagarde, Schaeuble Say EU to Ensure Greece Cuts Budget Deficit

Thursday, 11. February 2010 von Jim

European finance chiefs sought to bolster international confidence in Greece’s ability to cut its budget deficit by endorsing the country’s austerity plan and promising to ensure the government delivers on it.

“The European members of the G-7 will make sure it is managed,” French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde told reporters on Feb. 6 after meeting counterparts and central bankers from the Group of Seven in Iqaluit, Canada. European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the ECB is “confident” Greece will cut its deficit below the limit of 3 percent of gross domestic product in 2012 from 12.7 percent.

The struggles of the Greek government to convince investors it can reduce the largest budget gap in the European Union without outside assistance forced their way on to the agenda of the G-7 talks after the MSCI World Index of stocks fell to its lowest in four months on concern of a default.

“I just want to underscore they made it clear to us, they the European authorities, that they will manage this with great care,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in Iqaluit. “The European authorities gave us a very comprehensive review of the program now in place to address the challenges faced by the Greek economy.”

Greek bonds have tumbled in the past two months, pushing the yield on the country’s 10-year debt above 7 percent, the highest since 1999, the year the euro began trading. The premium investors charge to hold Greek 10-year bonds over the benchmark German bund has widened to 356 basis points, about 10 times what it was two years ago, and credit-default swaps on Greek debt rose to a record on Feb. 5.

Foreign-Exchange Markets

“No measure of official reassurance would be enough unless the nations in question retain credibility in financial markets, which remains to be seen,” Geoffrey Yu, a currency strategist at UBS AG in London, said in a note to clients. “We expect foreign-exchange markets to continue trading on a risk-averse tone.”

Borrowing costs have also jumped for Portugal and Spain, raising concern among policy makers that Greece’s woes will be shared elsewhere in Europe and overseas as governments try to rein in the record budget deficits they ran up fighting the worst global recession since World War II.

“This is a crisis that has been on the horizon for quite a while,” Harvard University Professor Niall Ferguson told Bloomberg Television, adding that Belgium and Italy are also at risk. “The contagion is going to spread.”

‘Intense Concern’

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said in Iqaluit that policy makers outside Europe “have the impression that Europeans will solve this problem and that they’re aware of the problem.” Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said the size of Greece’s economy means “in global terms it’s not of intense concern.”

Schaeuble said Greece still has to “pay a price” for running up the deficit and said the euro remains “stable.”

“Euro-area members of the G-7 gave an update on the efforts and commitments by the Greece government to ensure fiscal sustainability and economic reform,” Trichet said. “We said that the euro area would continue to monitor closely the implementation of this stability program.”

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has already pledged to step up budget cuts if needed and EU Monetary Affairs Commissioner Joaquin Almunia, who also attended the G-7 meeting, said last month that leaders have no “plan B” to help Greece.

Painful Measures

Most Greeks object to increases in the retirement age and fuel taxes even as a majority say painful measures are needed to reduce the budget gap, according to a Kappa Research poll for To Vima newspaper, published yesterday.

Harvard’s Ferguson said Greece’s economy will suffer as it tries to restore fiscal order with the resulting increase in unemployment triggering public strikes. Teachers, hospital workers and tax collectors already have called a 24-hour strike for Feb. 10 and private-sector workers will follow two weeks later.

“It’s going to be messy,” said Ferguson, who predicted Germany and France will provide financial aid if needed. “Suddenly the markets woke up and realized these weren’t credible fiscal policies.”

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RBA Says Economy to Accelerate Even as Rates Increase

Saturday, 06. February 2010 von Jim

Australia’s central bank said economic growth will continue to accelerate this year even if policy makers are forced to raise the benchmark interest rate by another three quarters of a percentage point.

The economy will be growing at an annual pace of 3.25 percent in the three months through December 2010, up from 2 percent last quarter, the bank said today in Sydney. Officials based their forecast on an assumption that the overnight cash rate target will climb to 4.5 percent this year, in line with market estimates.

Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens unexpectedly kept borrowing costs unchanged this week, saying information about the impact of the bank’s record three increases last quarter “is still limited.” A report this week showed retail sales unexpectedly fell in December for the first time in five months and stock markets tumbled today amid increasing concern that the global recovery may falter.

“They are uncertain and waiting for more information,” said Su-Lin Ong, senior economist at RBC Capital Markets Ltd. in Sydney. “It looks like they need greater justification to tighten further. They need to see a broadening in global growth.”

The Australian dollar traded at 86.57 U.S. cents at 12:37 p.m. in Sydney from 86.90 cents before the statement was released. The two-year government bond yield fell 4 basis points to 4.05 percent. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

Stocks Fall

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 2.8 percent to 4,493.40 at 12:05 p.m. in Sydney, setting the benchmark gauge on course for its lowest close in five months.

While interest rates are “no longer at exceptionally low levels,” it is “likely” that borrowing costs will be increased further over time to ensure inflation stays within Stevens’s target range of between 2 percent and 3 percent, the bank said in its quarterly monetary policy statement.

Stevens became the first central banker in the world to raise borrowing costs three times last year after Australia’s economy skirted the global recession, helped by A$20 billion ($17 billion) in cash handouts to consumers from Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and another A$22 billion in spending on roads, railways and schools.

U.S., Europe

By contrast, officials in the U.S., the U.K. and Europe have kept their benchmark lending rates at historic lows, partly on concern that recoveries in their economies will be hampered by high unemployment and weak consumer sentiment.

Australia’s economy will expand 2.5 percent in the June quarter of 2010 from a year earlier, and 3.5 percent in the year through June 30, 2011. Three months ago, the bank predicted growth rates of 2.25 percent and 3.25 percent respectively.

Core inflation will cool this year to an annual pace of 2.5 percent from 3.25 percent, before accelerating again to 2.75 percent in 2011.

The bank said those forecasts are based on the “technical assumption” of an increase in the cash rate, “with the assumed path broadly consistent with market expectations as the statement was finalized.”

Money market yields continue to reflect expectations for “further tightening, though at a slightly slower pace” than anticipated three months ago. “The cash rate is expected to reach around 4.5 percent by the end of the year,” today’s statement said.

“They’re being a little more specific and open about” their assumptions about future interest rates, said David de Garis, a senior economist at National Australia Bank Ltd. in Sydney. “They were probably always assuming something similar to the market.”

Rate Bets

Traders are betting there is only an 18 percent chance of a quarter-point increase in the overnight cash rate target when policy makers meet on March 2, according to Bloomberg calculations based on interbank futures on the Sydney Futures Exchange at 12:33 p.m.

Today’s forecasts “represent a modest upward revision” to figures released in November, “with recent data suggesting that the economy starts the current upswing in activity with somewhat less spare capacity than earlier thought likely,” today’s statement said.

“It now looks likely that the unemployment rate has peaked at around 5.75 percent, a much better outcome than thought likely early last year,” when the government forecast the jobless rate would peak at 8.5 percent this year.

Australia’s unemployment rate dropped in December to an eight-month low of 5.5 percent after employers added 135,700 jobs between September and the end of 2009, the biggest four- month surge in hiring in more than three years.

Energy Demand

Increased demand for workers is being stoked by a surge in investment by companies such as Chevron Corp., which is expanding its Gorgon liquefied natural gas venture in Western Australia to meeting rising demand from Asia for energy.

“Mining investment is expected to increase further from its already very high level,” today’s statement said. Exports of resources will “grow strongly, reflecting capacity increases resulting from the high level of mining investment over recent years.

“However, growth outside of the mining sector is expected to be only modest, reflecting the reallocation of productive resources within the economy.”

This is partly due to the surge in Australia’s currency, “which has reduced the international competitiveness of import- competing and exporting sectors, including the manufacturing and tourism sectors,” the bank said.

Household Spending

While increased hiring and an annual 13.6 percent surge in house prices last quarter have helped stoke consumer confidence, which jumped in January by the most in six months, “households are still taking a more cautious approach to their spending than was the case a few years ago,” today’s statement said.

One risk to today’s forecasts is whether the nation’s recent economic performance was prompted by a “bring-forward” of spending by consumers and businesses amid last year’s earlier interest-rate cuts and government spending, the bank said.

“If so, underlying growth would be soft into 2010 as the effects of the temporary stimulus fade,” the bank said. This may be offset by “the improvement in the outlook in the resources sector” which is “clearly not due to temporary policy factors.”

There are also questions about the durability of recent growth in the world’s largest economies, which have been boosted by temporary fiscal measures and the restocking of inventories by companies, today’s statement said.

“For a sustained recovery to take hold, a substantially stronger pick-up in private demand than has been evident to date will be required,” the bank said. “Many of these countries also face very significant fiscal challenges that will need to be addressed over time.”

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French Business Confidence Gains More Than Forecast

Sunday, 24. January 2010 von Jim

French business confidence rose more than economists forecast in January on signs that the recovery is gaining pace after the worst recession in six decades.

The index of sentiment among factory executives jumped to 92 from a revised 88 in December, Paris-based statistics office Insee said today. Economists expected a reading of 90, according to the median of 18 forecasts gathered by Bloomberg News.

France’s economy emerged from the slump last year, growing 0.3 percent in the second and third quarters. The Finance Ministry said this week that growth accelerated in the three months through December and raised its 2010 forecast, predicting that Europe’s second-largest economy will expand 1.4 percent.

“French industry is benefiting from the pickup in world trade,” said Joost Beaumont, an economist at Fortis Bank Nederland in Amsterdam. “Growth should mainly come from foreign demand.”

French bonds gained after the report, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond due in 2019 down 2 basis points to 3.43 percent. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

French 10-year debt yielded an average 37 fast cash online.18 basis points more than 10-year German securities in 2009, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The spread today was 23.5 basis points.

“Manufacturers see business significantly improving,” Insee said. “Inventories of finished products are judged to be small and order books, overall and from abroad, are filling up, even if they are still considered much less than full.”

The level of orders from foreign clients now shows a reading of minus 48, up from minus 58 in December, Insee said.

Domestic demand may be restrained by rising unemployment. The Finance Ministry expects France to lose 71,000 jobs this year, mostly in the first half, after shedding 373,000 in 2009.

“We have a recovery and the only question is how strong it will be,” said Pierre-Olivier Beffy, chief economist at Exane BNP Paribas in Paris. “In the U.S. inventories are being re- built and in Europe we are positive on the prospects for France and Germany.”

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New Zealand Economy Grows Slower-Than-Forecast 0.2%

Saturday, 26. December 2009 von Jim

New Zealand’s economy grew less than economists estimated in the third quarter, driving the nation’s currency to a three-month low on speculation the central bank may not need to raise interest rates until mid-2010.

Gross domestic product rose 0.2 percent from the previous quarter, Statistics New Zealand said in Wellington today. That was half the median forecast of a 0.4 percent gain in a Bloomberg survey of 12 economists.

A decline in construction, manufacturing and business investment hobbled New Zealand’s recovery from its worst recession in 30 years. Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said this month the bank may raise the benchmark interest rate from a record low sooner than he previously indicated should the economic rebound be sustained.

“The recovery is in train, but has been off to a subdued start,” said Khoon Goh, senior markets economist at ANZ National Bank Ltd. in Wellington. The data doesn’t “warrant hiking rates as early as March. We see June 2010 as the central case for when the tightening cycle starts.”

New Zealand’s dollar dropped to 69.75 U.S. cents, the lowest since Sept. 14, from 70.20 cents before the report was released. It bought 69.91 cents at 6:30 p.m. in Wellington. The currency had climbed 12 percent against the U.S. dollar the past six months and the NZX 50 stock index gained 14 percent on signs of a pickup in the economy.

Global Rates

Swaps traders are betting that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will increase the benchmark rate by 203 basis points over the next 12 months, according to a Credit Suisse index.

“The recovery remains fragile,” Finance Minister Bill English said today. “To climb back up the world income ladder and to replace jobs lost during the recession, we need businesses to have the confidence to invest and create jobs.”

Central bankers around the world are assessing when to remove stimulus as the global recession abates. Australia and Norway have started raising rates and the Federal Reserve has committed to scale down buying of mortgage-backed debt.

Europe’s economy emerged from its worst slump in more than six decades, growing 0.4 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months. The U.S. economy grew at a revised 2.2 percent annual pace last quarter. Australia’s economy expanded in the three months through September for a third straight quarter.

Governor’s Comments

New Zealand’s central bank may begin to “remove monetary stimulus around the middle of 2010,” Bollard said on Dec. 10. In October, the governor said the nation’s benchmark interest rate would be kept on hold until the second half of next year.

The economy shrank 1.3 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, today’s report showed. That compared with a 1.2 percent contraction estimated by economists.

“The central bank needs strong data in order to bring forward its tightening cycle to the same degree as the market has priced in,” said Stephen Toplis, head of research at Bank of New Zealand Ltd. in Wellington. “Is this the sort of data that would shift the Reserve Bank from its published view? You’d have to say no.”

Business investment fell 0.9 percent, the fifth straight decline, as companies spent less on plant and machinery, today’s report showed. Manufacturing dropped 1.9 percent and construction declined 4.4 percent.

Manufacturers, Retailers

Bridgestone Corp., the world’s largest tiremaker by sales, said in October it would close a plant in Christchurch, New Zealand, by the end of the year because of lower cost competitiveness.

Fisher & Paykel Appliances Holdings Ltd., the country’s biggest manufacturer of washers and dryers, said sales in the three months ended Sept. 30 fell 11 percent from a year earlier. Sales are likely to remain flat for the rest of the fiscal year, Chief Executive Officer Stuart Broadhurst said Nov. 27.

Smiths City Group Ltd. yesterday said sales at its furniture and appliance stores dropped 6.2 percent in the six months ended Oct. 31. “The retail environment has continued to be very tough and in big ticket, the worst for 20 years,” Chairman Craig Boyce said.

Warehouse Group Ltd., the nation’s biggest discount retailer, last month said sales were below expectations in the three months ended Nov. 1.

Household Spending

Household spending, which makes up 60 percent of the economy, rose 0.8 percent in the third quarter. Sales of cars, home appliances and other so-called durable goods gained 2 percent. Purchases of food and non-durable items fell.

Exports of goods and services were unchanged in the third quarter as increased spending by tourists offset a decline in commodity exports including meat and seafood.

The GDP deflator, a measure of prices, rose 2 percent in the year ended Sept. 30.

“GDP growth is showing little upward momentum from one quarter to the next,” said Ian Pollick, economics strategist at TD Securities in Toronto. “From a monetary policy perspective, this particular report is unlikely to light a fire under the RBNZ.”

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